Homer Like It’s 2009: What’s Fueling Mark Teixeira’s Resurgence?

Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

Albert Pujols’s power resurgence, capped off by a three-homer Monday, has been one of this season’s best offensive stories. But Pujols has only barely been the best-hitting 35-year-old first baseman in the American League, and he’s not the one who’s improved the most relative to his recent-past performance. On that count, he’s beaten by Yankees switch-hitting first baseman and — yes, it’s safe to say it — slugger Mark Teixeira.

Like his teammate Alex Rodriguez, Teixeira has approximated his peak offensive production this season after two years of contributing next to nothing. In 2009, his first year with the Yankees — and, prior to 2015, his last All-Star season — Teixeira was 42 percent better than the average major league hitter,1 after accounting for the fact he played in a park where one could hit homers like this. Thus far in 2015, Teixeira’s bat has been 43 percent better than league average — three points behind Pujols, whom he now trails by six homers.

Teixeira has the same explanation as Pujols for his ability to turn back the clock: He’s no longer seriously injured. Teixeira’s past three summers produced a lengthy list of physical problems: in 2012, a calf strain that cost him all of September; in 2013, a tendon sheath tear (and re-tear) in his wrist that required surgery and robbed him of all but 15 games; in 2014, ongoing issues with the wrist, which was slow to recover, and a hamstring strain that sent him to the disabled list. Although the evidence for a link between wrist problems and power outages is inconclusive across all cases, pain or weakness in that part of the body can be debilitating, and Teixeira credits his bounce back to his wrist’s return to health. This year, he’s suffered a succession of minor, middle-aged maladies a stiff neck, a bruised toe, a sore lat but none of those issues has sidelined him for long or significantly hampered him at the plate. On the most fundamental level, Teixeira is hitting more like he did in 2009 because he feels more like he did in 2009.

But Teixeira has also had to adjust to a changing game, because the approach that served him so well in 2009 wouldn’t work as well today. In 2009, Teixeira batted .292, with a .302 BABIP. This year, he’s batting .249, with a .232 BABIP. Those more modest numbers are nothing new for Teixeira, who has the second-lowest BABIP of any player with at least 1,000 plate appearances since 2011, ranking close to some of the kings of weak contact whose names are now shorthand for “bad hitter.”

Name PA BABIP wRC+
Vernon Wells 1,249 .232 78
Mark Teixeira 2,134 .237 117
Yuniesky Betancourt 1,221 .242 66
J.P. Arencibia 1,577 .245 75
Raul Ibanez 1,776 .252 97
Dan Uggla 2,106 .253 96
Luis Valbuena 1,616 .254 99
Brian McCann 2,256 .254 106
Jeff Mathis 1,005 .255 43
Matt Dominguez 1,357 .255 78

From 2003–09, Teixeira was a .290 hitter who finished over .300 in three full seasons. Since then, he’s batted .243. That’s partly a product of age, injury, and the offensive environment, but it’s not as if Teixeira has had trouble putting balls in play: His problems largely arise after balls leave his bat. In 2009, Teixeira faced infield shifts in only 40 of 499 (8.6 percent) plate appearances from the left side that were tracked by Baseball Info Solutions, and none of his PA from the right side.2 This year, he’s been shifted (and shafted) in 189 of 201 (94.0 percent) tracked PA from the left side, and 39 of 84 (46.4 percent) from the right side. He’s one of the most obvious victims of a strategy that’s designed to steal singles from players who fit his pull-heavy profile. Among qualified hitters from 2015, only Giancarlo Stanton — who, like Teixeira, has 34 singles and 74 hits — has seen singles account for as low a percentage of his hits.

In past seasons, it seemed as if bunting would be Teixeira’s best chance to defeat the defensive shift. Teixeira toyed with the idea of dropping one down in 2012, but he never followed through: Almost 7,500 PA into his big league career, he’s yet to get on the board, bunt-wise. While bunting to beat the shift would be wise for many shift-plagued pull hitters, Teixeira had no track record with the technique, and he also had misgivings about abandoning his signature power stroke, even as a temporary deterrent. So instead of trying to reinvent himself as a “pretty ugly slap hitter,” he joined the annual legion of players in the best shape of their lives and entered this season with a mantra more befitting of a former league leader in the long ball: “Hit more home runs, hit more doubles, and walk more.” Unlike the Royals’ Mike Moustakas, who resolved to conquer the perils of pull hitting by aiming more often (and more effectively) for the opposite field, Teixeira intended to do what he’d done before, but better.

With the cooperation of his rebuilt wrist, Teixeira has swung at 66.9 percent of pitches inside the strike zone, the highest rate of his career. Meanwhile, he’s offered at only 24.7 percent of pitches outside the strike zone, which would be his second-lowest full-season figure. That increased aggressiveness inside the zone and increased selectivity elsewhere has paid off just how he’d hoped: Teixeira hasn’t hit more doubles, but he has averaged a homer every 15.4 plate appearances, on pace for his best single-season rate, and he’s walked in 13.5 percent of his trips to the plate, his highest rate since his 2008 career year.3

Teixeira has become his best self while steering into the skid and evolving into an even more pronounced pull hitter. Not only has he continued to pull nearly 70 percent of his grounders (and watch some of them get swallowed by repositioned opponents), he’s also pulling almost half of his fly balls, by far his highest career percentage.

mark-teixeira-pull-flies-chart

He’s also displayed a renewed knack for hitting fast pitches hard, as shown by the recovering run value (per 100 pitches) of his fastballs — both four-seamers and sinkers — put in play, according to BIS pitch classifications:

mark-teixeira-fastballs-chart

If Teixeira is cheating on fastballs or selling out for power, it hasn’t hurt him so far. Nor has his low BABIP been a deathblow. Teixeira has posted the fifth-best production per plate appearance, relative to the league, of any qualified hitter since 1900 with a BABIP of .235 or below.

Name Year PA AVG OBP SLG BABIP HR wRC+
Jose Bautista 2010 683 .260 .378 .617 .233 54 165
Roger Maris 1961 698 .269 .372 .620 .209 61 162
Hank Aaron 1972 544 .265 .390 .514 .235 34 148
Mark McGwire 1990 650 .235 .370 .489 .223 39 143
Mark Teixeira 2015 355 .249 .358 .539 .232 23 143

BABIP excludes home runs, which technically aren’t “in play,”4 but even by Batting Average on Contact (often amusingly abbreviated as BACON) Teixeira’s season would rank 10th since 19545 among qualified hitters who’ve come up empty as often when they’ve put the ball in play.

It was apparent this spring that an inordinate number of the Steinbrenners’ prop bets would have to pay out in order for the Yankees to finish first in an up-for-grabs AL East. Michael Pineda, Masahiro Tanaka, and Ivan Nova would have to be healthy-ish, and last year’s brigade of broken-down, over-the-hill hitters (Carlos Beltran, Brian McCann, Rodriguez, and Teixeira) would have to hit a lot like they did when the team last won a title. Improbably, those unlikely outcomes have occurred, to varying degrees. Coupled with regular heroics by Brett Gardner and an airtight, recently rebuilt bullpen, the Yankees’ unexpected contributions from the elderly and formerly infirm have helped them survive CC Sabathia’s latter-day Tim Lincecum impression, Chase Headley’s Safeco-esque slash line, and a months-long meeting of Middle Infielders Anonymous. Their four-game lead in the AL East would be even slimmer if Teixeira hadn’t discovered how to hit like Harmon Killebrew, but both his repaired wrist and the shift have in some respects made him stronger.

In January 2014, a rehabbing Teixeira told beat writer Daniel Barbarisi, “I can be as positive as I can, but until I hit a 95 mph fastball that’s inside, into the second deck, then I’ll go, ‘All right, I’m back.'” Here’s his eighth-inning homer from Sunday, which delivered the Yankees’ 50th win:

No, it wasn’t quite into the second deck. But it wasn’t 95, either — it was 98. All right, he’s back.

Filed Under: MLB, New York Yankees, Mark Teixeira, Albert Pujols, MLB Injuries, Beating the Shift, The Shift, Home Runs, MLB Stats, Baseball, Ben Lindbergh

Ben Lindbergh is a staff writer at Grantland.

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